Blackjack Odds

Blackjack is a simple casino game that is based on skill, and partly on luck. It can be considered as a skill game because you can improve your odds of winning significantly, simply by applying the blackjack basics and blackjack betting strategy and following a few blackjack tips and tricks. And you could be lucky or unlucky depending on the cards you are dealt with initially. In any case, this is one of the few games in which you can bring the house edge to a very low percentage, while increasing your blackjack odds of winning, by applying the strategies in the game. The blackjack odds can differ depending on card combinations you get and the strategies you apply.

In blackjack, the aim of the player is to make a hand greater than the dealer’s hand, without exceeding a total of 21. Blackjack is played with at least one and not more than 8 decks of cards, where 2-10 are scored as per their face value and face cards are scored 10. An ace can either be scored 1 or 11, depending on the cards in hand. The player and the dealer are both dealt 2 cards each initially, and depending on the face value of the cards, they can either stand, hit, spilt or double. Sometimes, the casino may allow the player to use to so called blackjack surrender after the first two cards are dealt. If the total of the player or the dealer exceeds 21 when they hit, they are busted and the other party automatically wins.

Impact of blackjack rules on blackjack odds

The blackjack odds of winning can also depend on the rules of the casino. Different casinos may have different table rules, which also effect the house edge to some extent. Some of the rules like early blackjack surrender, resplit on aces, and double after splits may have a positive effect on your blackjack odds of winning, whereas some rules like dealer wins ties, double only on 10 or 11, etc have a negative effect.

In standard US rules 8 deck blackjack, the house edge is 0.66%. Compared to standard US rules with 8 decks, using a single deck can increase the expected return of a player by 0.48%. A double deck will increase the return by 0.19%. The option to re-split aces will increase the return by 0.08%.

On the other hand, some rule variations will have a negative impact on expected return. For example, when doubling is disallowed after splitting, the return will fall by 0.14%. When dealer hits on soft 17, the return will fall by 0.22%.

Choosing a casino with favorable rules increases your blackjack odds of winning and vice versa.

Impact of blackjack betting strategy on odds

You should not forget that typically when house edge of a game is being discussed, it is assumed that you would be playing using optimal strategy. In blackjack, if you don’t use a blackjack betting strategy and just play on the basis of a hunch, you would probably be playing at a 2% house edge.

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